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Dec 14

White Sox Add Cabrera – Cubs Now on the Clock


"<strongTo call Melky Cabrera a huge upgrade in left field you have to believe the White Sox actually had a Major League-caliber player stationed there last season. The South Siders just improved by at least three wins, and with all their other moves from this offseason, just turned into a .500 ball club. Welcome, AL Central, to the land of mediocrity—where everyone is good enough to win just enough to be uninspiring.

The 2014 White Sox had one of two options in left field: Alejandro De Aza who is typically a safe bet to swipe 20 bags and top double-digit home runs (his 17 homers in ’13 look fluky now) but was traded to the Orioles and played well down the stretch, which was probably irritating to see him rejuvenated in Baltimore; or the mostly right, sometimes left Dayan Viciedo who plays horrid defense, strikes out a lot, but has youth and the promise of 20 home runs to make you believe he’s valuable.

Cabrera will surpass the combination of those two by the end of April and even if he can’t play defense as well as De Aza, he has a strong arm and should keep runners honest. By the final year of this three-year deal, he’ll be more DH than actual outfielder, but that’s a problem to worry about down the road. Is it an overpay?  Eh.  42-45 million over three years is the expected range, and that’s not really all that bad for what Cabrera provides. Look.  If Nick Markakis received 4/45, then 3/42-45 for Melky is reasonable. He’s only 30. It’s not like he’ll limp around left with a replacement hip by year three.

He’ll just waddle there a bit.

Rejoice Chicago! The city of Nelson Algren has become baseball’s focal point this offseason, and it’s a good thing to see. With the Windy City now the home of Chris Sale, Jon Lester, Jeff Samardzija, Jake Arrieta, Jose Quintana, and the strong-armed Cabrera, I look forward to the daily The Man with the Golden Arm references.1 In fact, I demand it. If Algren can’t get some love this season in Chicago by the beat writers, then things have gone horribly wrong. While it’s debatable whether the Cubs and White Sox actually did enough to be real contenders in the escalating Midwestern arms race, it’s difficult to argue that both teams aren’t making an honest go of it.

In the last three weeks, the White Sox have addressed their closer role with the signing of David Robertson, the black hole that was first base, a strong #2-3 starter with Samardzija, and now left field. I’m not as high on Adam LaRoche as some. I doubt he’ll be worth 12.5 million over two years, much less paying him 25 million total over that span, but he’ll be an upgrade defensively at first. Honestly, I think his best asset might just be the attitude he brings to the field. Don’t be surprised if the White Sox infielders start playing with a little more moxie thanks to the “Buck Commander’s” machismo.

Regardless, between LaRoche and Jose Abreu at first and DH, Samardzija, and Robertson, the Sox have added 7-8 wins at a minimum. Are they contenders? Why not. Their rotation is just as good as what the Tigers will be throwing out there when/if they ever decide to keep their good, young pitchers that aren’t rock star famous, the Royals haven’t re-signed James Shields (or found a replacement as he becomes too pricy) and with a few breaks the White Sox are in the 85 win territory.

In the Central, with every team capable of walloping on the other, that might just be enough.

  1. In college, I read a lot of Algren. Couldn’t get enough of him. For my senior thesis, I wrote this short story about a coffee junky that was such a blatant rip off of the dialogue between Frankie Machine and Sparrow from The Man with the Golden Arm that I should have paid Algren’s estate royalties. Except no one but my professors would read it. Sometimes I think A Walk on the Wild Side might be my favorite of his novels, and I try to come up with legitimate literary reasons why this is the case, and then I re-read a line like “The great, secret and special American guilt of owning nothing, nothing at all, in the one land where ownership and virtue are one,” and I feel so foolish for doubting Frankie.

5 comments

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  1. WTF

    OK, I’ll bite on what seems to be a bit of hyperbole. Let’s re-read your line that lost me:

    …”the black hole that was first base…”

    Exactly how is the:

    a. 4th placed player in the AL MVP,
    b. the unanimous AL ROY,
    c. the 169 OPS+,
    d. the All Star,
    e. the 5.5 bWar,
    f. adjusting-to-a-new-country-and-culture-and-climate-and-league,
    g. at-a-bargain-basement-$8.666M-in-2015
    h. 28 Year Old Jose Abreu

    a Black Hole?

    Please show all steps of your work to receive full credit. Moreover, make sure to answer each part of this query, as your statement strains credulity like an unfortunate victim of the Spanish Inquisition.

    Now, having a reasonable LH as a platoon partner in Laroche seems “ok,” but “filling a black hole?” Let’s see your work on that.

    1. Scott Bline

      You make a fair point. What I was getting at, but didn’t clearly articulate, was a shift of Abreu to DH provides a defensive improvement at first and comes out a major plus for both positions. The White Sox received zip from DH last year. I flubbed that one. Abreu is awesome. An amazing player. To imply that he wasn’t is silly.

  2. WTF

    To be fair, I enjoyed this piece, apart from what I had assumed was a bit of hyperbole. I apologize for the snark, as White Sox fans are accustomed to east coast bias and hyperbole.

    That said, Abreu was a better defensive 1B than Laroche in ’14, according to RF/9. [Full disclosure: I don’t much care for ANY defensive metrics, but still.]

    I get that Laroche had been a plus defender previously in his career. But, at 35 years old, I think that he’s fully into his natural progression into becoming a statute at 1B. By contrast, I think it is possible that a 28 year old Abreu may yet improve defensively somewhat.

    As to whether or not LaRoche will be worth $12.5MM in ’15, if the cost of one WAR in FA will be $7.5MM – $8MM, all LaRoche would have to accomplish is a ~1.5 to 2 WAR season to be worth it. Whether or not he can is, of course, TBD. But I’d guess that Laroche would be in the “team photo” for 1-2 WAR for 2015, assuming the WS’ stupid manager doesn’t misuse him.

    In any case, keep up the good work.

    1. Scott Bline

      I’m not a projections expert, but I’ve been working under the belief that LaRoche will probably be worth 1-1.5 wins. If he spends some time at DH next year, it’ll probably be on the higher end. He’s not bad defensively. He’s not the player that he once was, but he has enough glove to keep White Sox fans happy. As for mobility and range…yeah. There was one play last year where he nearly got decapitated by a line drive. I always attributed that to Rafael Soriano throwing meatballs down the middle of the plate, but it was likely a little soft tossing Soriano and the quick twitch muscles not working like they used to. Honestly, LaRoche is lucky to be conscious right now after that play. The other thing I noticed with him, particularly as the season went along, was his propensity to swing at balls up and in. A fastball up and in either scared him into swinging or just looked too appetizing, but either way, he wasn’t catching up to it.
      I’d be curious if that keeps up.

  3. Bob

    However it turns out,it’s good to see the Sox making an effort to improve.

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