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Aug 24

Jordan Zimmermann: About Yesterday Afternoon (August 23)

It certainly didn’t look good early for Jordan Zimmermann (10-8). After Scooter Gennett singled on a curve that just broke lazily, Jonathan Lucroy hit a two-run home run to left center on a slider that was just broken. Oh, Ryan Braun then hit a fastball off the base of the right field wall. Is any pitch working?

That throw worked.

After Braun was gunned down at second by Harper, Zimmermann settled down and worked through the first without any further issue. Maybe it wasn’t pretty, and the Nationals were now down 2-0, but it wasn’t like the team wouldn’t have their chances. The Brewers sent Matt Garza (6-14) to the mound, so that meant lots of fastballs that were really, really straight, and lots of chances to see Harper or Michael Taylor go for a 500-foot bomb. It didn’t happen on Sunday, but chances are it’ll happen soon.

Zimmermann settled in, but I can’t recall a time where it ever seemed easy for him. He struck out Braun in the third with a really nice curveball, but his slider wasn’t particularly effective, though he did strike out Khris Davis in the fourth with one that broke just enough that it worked more like a changeup to fool him.

Gennett’s home run in the fifth came on a fastball up and in that Gennett pulled to right, and by the sixth Zimmermann was gassed. I was a little surprised to see Matt Williams send him out for the sixth, seeing as Zimmermann was already at 94 pitches, but since Zimmermann sacrificed in the bottom of the fifth I wasn’t “surprised.” Up 6-2 at that time, okay, let him go a few more pitches more. One Anthony Rendon three-run homer later, the score is now 9-2, it’s a guarantee they’ll try to stretch Zimmermann out as long as they can. By the time Zimmermann started pitching to Elian Herrera, it looked as though he might start tossing it underhand.

Throw lefty, J-Zimm! Give the boys in the pen a breather!

Personally, the big story for me in this game wasn’t so much the continued failings of the Nats starting pitching to last deep into games or Zimmermann allowing four or more runs for the seventh time this season (something he did five times last year and never on back-to-back starts). No. I think the big story is Rendon’s bat coming alive. If he starts hitting and really getting it going that’ll be a huge boost to the lineup. With David Wright returning on Monday, we can finally have that best third basemen in the NL East debate and not have to use minor league rehab photos for visuals.

Also, Wilson Ramos went 2-for-3 in this game with a home run. I’m not ready to be too optimistic about his outing only because those hits came against Garza. Everyone sort of hits Garza at this point.

On the afternoon, Zimmermann threw 5 2/3 innings and allowed four earned runs on eight hits, one hit batter, and one intentional walk while striking out seven.

Below I’ve listed the particulars for yesterday’s game.

Pitches by Type:

##        Pitch Type Count    %
##         Curveball     4 3.45
##          Fourseam    80  69.
##  Intentional Walk     2 1.72
##            Slider    28 24.1
##              <NA>     2 1.72

Pitch Type by Inning

##                   1  2  3  4  5  6
## Curveball         1  0  1  1  1  0
## Fourseam         14 15 11 10 14 16
## Intentional Walk  0  0  0  2  0  0
## Slider            4  4  4  8  2  6

Pitches by Outcome:

##                     Curveball Fourseam Intentional Walk Slider
## Ball                        1       22                0      9
## Called Strike               1       14                0      4
## Foul                        0       24                0      5
## Foul (Runner Going)         0        1                0      0
## Hit By Pitch                0        1                0      0
## In play, no out             1        2                0      1
## In play, out(s)             0        6                0      4
## In play, run(s)             0        2                0      1
## Intent Ball                 0        0                2      0
## Swinging Strike             1        8                0      4

Events by Final Pitch of At-Bat

##              Curveball Fourseam Intentional Walk Slider
## Double               0        1                0      0
## Flyout               0        0                0      1
## Groundout            0        4                0      2
## Hit By Pitch         0        1                0      0
## Home Run             0        1                0      1
## Intent Walk          0        0                1      0
## Lineout              0        1                0      0
## Pop Out              0        0                0      1
## Single               1        3                0      1
## Strikeout            1        4                0      2

Pitches by Zone Location

##  Zone % Out of Zone % O-Swing % Z-Swing %
##   54.31         45.69     35.02     73.65

Note: Zone % is the number of pitches thrown that were considered in the strike zone; Out of Zone is the number of pitches thrown out of the strike zone; and O-Swing % and Z-Swing % relate to those pitches out of the zone and in the zone that were swung at by batters.

Calculations: I calculated the strike zone based upon the formula provided by Mike Fast in a post for Baseball Prospectus. O-Swing % = Swings at Pitches Out of the Zone / Total Pitches Out of the Zone, and Z-Swing % = Swings at Pitches In the Zone / Total Pitches In the Zone. Fangraphs has a great explanation regarding plate discipline, and I encourage you to read about it if you get a chance. After enjoying my site first, of course.


Pitch Types by Zone Location

##        Pitch Type In Zone Out of Zone O-Swing % Z-Swing %
##         Curveball       2           2     0.500     0.500
##          Fourseam      44          36     0.306     0.659
##  Intentional Walk       0           2      0.00       NaN
##            Slider      15          13     0.308     0.667
##              <NA>       2           2      0.00      0.00

Strikeouts by Description

##                 Curveball Fourseam Slider
## Swinging Strike         1        4      2

Standard Batting Lines Against Jordan Zimmermann

##             Batter PA AB H 2B 3B HR K BB HBP SF    BA   OBP   SLG Pitches
##          Adam  Lind  3  3 1  0  0  0 0  0   0  0 0.333 0.333 0.333      14
##    Domingo  Santana  3  2 0  0  0  0 0  0   1  0 0.000 0.333 0.000      10
##      Elian  Herrera  3  2 1  1  0  0 1  1   0  0 0.500 0.667 1.000      15
##        Jean  Segura  3  3 2  0  0  0 1  0   0  0 0.667 0.667 0.667      15
##    Jonathan  Lucroy  3  3 1  0  0  1 1  0   0  0 0.333 0.333 1.333      12
##  Khristopher Davis  3  3 0  0  0  0 1  0   0  0 0.000 0.000 0.000      19
##         Matt  Garza  2  2 0  0  0  0 2  0   0  0 0.000 0.000 0.000       6
##         Ryan  Braun  3  3 1  0  0  0 1  0   0  0 0.333 0.333 0.333      11
##    Scooter  Gennett  3  3 2  0  0  1 0  0   0  0 0.667 0.667 1.667      14
## Warning in rm(x): object 'x' not found

Pitches Velocities & Movement:

##        Pitch Type  Min Mean  Max Mean Hor Mean Vert CRT Mean Hor
##         Curveball 79.0 80.8 82.3    5.037    -4.537        5.411
##          Fourseam 91.8 93.4 95.5   -3.220     8.183       -2.806
##  Intentional Walk 69.4  70. 70.5   -2.865     7.410       -3.449
##            Slider 86.4 88.5 90.7    2.193     3.659        2.696
##              <NA>   NA   NA   NA       NA        NA           NA
##  CRT Mean Vert
##         -5.813
##          7.287
##          6.655
##          2.543
##             NA

Note: Horizontal movement denotes average distance, in inches, from point of release to home plate (+ moves away from a right-handed batter) while vertical movement is average distance, in inches, from release point to home plate. As measured from the back point of home plate, the x-axis (horizontal) runs to the catcher’s right, the y-axis points at the pitcher, and the z-axis (vertical) runs upward.

Note 2: The corrected horizontal and vertical are based upon a paper by Alan M. Nathan from the University of Illinois nd account for the elimination of both gravity and drag. The corrected averages more accurately reflect the true movement of the baseball.


Average (MPH) Velocity for Pitches by Starters Last Night:

2015-08-24_Jordan Zimmermann_BoxPlot

Below are the pitch locations by both batter stance (left or right) and by pitch type.

Pitch Location by Stance:

2015-08-24_Jordan Zimmermann_Stance

Pitch Location by Pitch Type:

2015-08-24_Jordan Zimmermann_Pitches

Pitch Locations by Batter:

2015-08-24_Jordan Zimmermann_Batters

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