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Aug 30

Jordan Zimmermann: About Last Night (August 29)

I don’t think you could have faulted Jordan Zimmermann (11-8) if he’d lost all ability to think coherently and grooved one to Derek Dietrich after Martin Prado nearly decapitated Zimmermann with a comeback liner in the fourth. Ichiro Suzuki had just worked his way on with a single, and on the next pitch Prado unleashed a bit of revenge for his strikeout in the first. In that first at-bat, Prado had fouled one straight back that certainly gave the impression that he was right on Zimmermann’s offerings. In this at-bat, he was nearly right on J-Zimm’s noggin.

Yankees rookie Bryan Mitchell had been hit in the head a little less than two weeks ago. In 2015, Archie Bradley and Carlos Carrasco have also been hit. It doesn’t happen all the time, but it happens enough that pitchers know it’s a risk.

In his first at-bat of the night, Dietrich had worked a nine pitch walk, but Zimmermann caught him fishing for a curveball down near the shoelaces. Dietrich fouled it off, but it was enough of a clue that Zimmermann went back to the pitch here in the fourth. This time Zimmermann bounced the curve, and Dietrich chased.

Strike three. One down with runners on first and second.

Next up is the firs basemen Justin Bour, a baseball player in a slow-pitch softball player’s body. In the seventh, Bour would hit some high heat a very long way to right-center field, but in this at-bat he grounded out to Ryan Zimmerman at first. Marcell Ozuna ended the threat with a fly out to Bryce Harper in center.

The game wasn’t won at that moment. There were still five innings to go, and the Nationals were up only 2-0, but it was the best opportunity for the Marlins to score. There was a sense that the Marlins might have had Zimmermann’s number at that point. In the third they’d strung together a few hits.  Pitcher Tom Koehler (8-13) singled, and Dee Gordon doubled off the base of the right field wall. Koehler was tossed out at home trying to score on a passed ball, but with Ichiro’s and Prado’s singles that was four straight hits. This could have been a big inning.  This could have been something.

It was like that for Zimmermann on Saturday night. He wasn’t dominant, but he got the outs when he needed them. Mostly I remember a lot of fly balls to Harper and groundouts to Ian Desmond. There were a scattering of strikeouts when he needed them. Nothing gaudy. Nothing that made you think he was going to set a new personal record and be mistaken for Strasburg, but he made pitches.

He located his fastball, and the Marlins couldn’t really do all that much with the curve. They mostly drove the ball into the dirt and into the waiting glove of one of the Nationals infielders. Hindsight being what it is, the Marlins probably should have batted Koehler cleanup, and they likely would have scored four or five runs. Gordon, Ichiro, Prado, and Koehler were a combined 6-for-11 against Zimmermann with Koehler going 2-for-2. The rest of the lineup went 1-for-14. Koehler now owns Zimmermann.

You read it here first.

On the night, Zimmermann went seven innings and allowed one earned run on seven hits and one walk while striking out four.

Below I’ve listed the particulars for yesterday’s game.

Pitches by Type:

##  Pitch Type Count    %
##   Curveball    18  17.
##    Fourseam    55 51.9
##    Two-seam     3 2.83
##      Slider    30 28.3

Pitch Type by Inning

##            1 2 3 4 5 6 7
## Curveball  2 3 2 5 2 2 2
## Fourseam  12 9 8 5 8 4 9
## Two-seam   0 0 1 0 1 1 0
## Slider     2 5 5 4 5 2 7

Pitches by Outcome:

##                           Curveball Fourseam Two-seam Slider
## Ball                              4       19        0     11
## Called Strike                     5        7        0      4
## Foul                              6       10        1      7
## Foul Bunt                         0        1        0      0
## Foul Tip                          0        2        0      1
## In play, no out                   0        5        0      1
## In play, out(s)                   1        6        2      5
## In play, run(s)                   0        1        0      0
## Swinging Strike                   1        4        0      1
## Swinging Strike (Blocked)         1        0        0      0

Events by Final Pitch of At-Bat

##                  Curveball Fourseam Two-seam Slider
## Double                   0        1        0      0
## Flyout                   0        1        0      1
## Grounded Into DP         0        1        0      0
## Groundout                1        2        1      4
## Home Run                 0        1        0      0
## Lineout                  0        1        1      0
## Pop Out                  0        1        0      0
## Runner Out               0        0        0      1
## Single                   0        4        0      1
## Strikeout                1        2        0      1
## Walk                     0        1        0      0

Pitches by Zone Location

##  Zone % Out of Zone % O-Swing % Z-Swing %
##   52.83         47.17     42.40     58.68

Note: Zone % is the number of pitches thrown that were considered in the strike zone; Out of Zone is the number of pitches thrown out of the strike zone; and O-Swing % and Z-Swing % relate to those pitches out of the zone and in the zone that were swung at by batters.

Calculations: I calculated the strike zone based upon the formula provided by Mike Fast in a post for Baseball Prospectus. O-Swing % = Swings at Pitches Out of the Zone / Total Pitches Out of the Zone, and Z-Swing % = Swings at Pitches In the Zone / Total Pitches In the Zone. Fangraphs has a great explanation regarding plate discipline, and I encourage you to read about it if you get a chance. After enjoying my site first, of course.


Pitch Types by Zone Location

##  Pitch Type In Zone Out of Zone O-Swing % Z-Swing %
##   Curveball       9           9     0.556     0.444
##    Fourseam      31          24     0.292     0.581
##    Two-seam       2           1      1.00      1.00
##      Slider      14          16     0.438     0.500

Strikeouts by Description

##                           Curveball Fourseam Slider
## Called Strike                     0        1      1
## Foul Tip                          0        1      0
## Swinging Strike (Blocked)         1        0      0

Standard Batting Lines Against Jordan Zimmermann

##              Batter PA AB H 2B 3B HR K BB HBP SF    BA   OBP   SLG Pitches
##  Adeiny  Hechavarria  3  3 0  0  0  0 1  0   0  0 0.000 0.000 0.000      12
##      Derek  Dietrich  3  2 0  0  0  0 1  1   0  0 0.000 0.333 0.000      15
##      Devaris Gordon  3  3 2  1  0  0 0  0   0  0 0.667 0.667 1.000      12
##       Ichiro  Suzuki  4  3 1  0  0  0 0  0   0  0 0.333 0.333 0.333      12
##      Jacob Realmuto  3  3 0  0  0  0 0  0   0  0 0.000 0.000 0.000      12
##         Justin  Bour  3  3 1  0  0  1 0  0   0  0 0.333 0.333 1.333       8
##       Marcell  Ozuna  3  3 0  0  0  0 1  0   0  0 0.000 0.000 0.000      16
##        Martin  Prado  3  3 1  0  0  0 1  0   0  0 0.333 0.333 0.333      11
##         Tom  Koehler  2  2 2  0  0  0 0  0   0  0 1.000 1.000 1.000       8
## Warning in rm(x): object 'x' not found

Pitches Velocities & Movement:

##  Pitch Type  Min Mean  Max Mean Hor Mean Vert CRT Mean Hor CRT Mean Vert
##   Curveball 79.7 82.2 83.3    2.021    -4.682        2.453        -6.031
##    Fourseam 92.5 94.1 95.5   -5.577     8.274       -5.158         7.335
##    Two-seam 94.6 95.0 95.5   -8.620     5.380       -8.125         4.439
##      Slider 85.4 89.1 91.3    1.035     3.640        1.630         2.394

Note: Horizontal movement denotes average distance, in inches, from point of release to home plate (+ moves away from a right-handed batter) while vertical movement is average distance, in inches, from release point to home plate. As measured from the back point of home plate, the x-axis (horizontal) runs to the catcher’s right, the y-axis points at the pitcher, and the z-axis (vertical) runs upward.

Note 2: The corrected horizontal and vertical are based upon a paper by Alan M. Nathan from the University of Illinois nd account for the elimination of both gravity and drag. The corrected averages more accurately reflect the true movement of the baseball.


Average (MPH) Velocity for Pitches by Starters Last Night:

2015-08-30_Jordan Zimmermann_BoxPlot

Below are the pitch locations by both batter stance (left or right) and by pitch type.

Pitch Location by Stance:

2015-08-30_Jordan Zimmermann_Stance

Pitch Location by Pitch Type:

2015-08-30_Jordan Zimmermann_Pitches

Pitch Locations by Batter:

2015-08-30_Jordan Zimmermann_Batters

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