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Sep 02

Jon Niese: About Last Night (September 01)

MrTandRecondoInSpace5b

Mr. T and Recondo boogie down. There was time to dance during the long sixth inning.

Do we have definitive proof that Bartolo Colon and Jon Niese (8-10) aren’t the same person? I haven’t seen them standing beside one another. Neither pitcher seems to be in the same place at the same time, quality start-wise. When Colon is throwing well, Niese goes in the tank. When Niese is throwing well, Colon takes a few starts off. Some enterprising private detective in New York needs to get detecting on this for the good of the Mets.

It took 17 pitches for Niese to work through the first two innings, and while most of that was smoke, mirrors, and a bit of luck, he had to work around a Daniel Murphy error that came from a poor Ruben Tejada throw. It then took Niese another 17 pitches in the third to allow five runs and put the team down 5-0 to the Phillies. Again. Surprisingly, I wasn’t horrified by this. I really believed the team would come back. During the broadcast, it was annoying that SNY decided to interview Geno Auriemma during the inning, but in retrospect, they did everyone a favor. It was the one moment of greatness associated with that game. It certainly wasn’t Niese’s outing. Or is continuing struggles.

Two weeks ago I was comfortable with the idea of Niese in the rotation. I even started looking forward to his starts. Now I want Sandy Alderson and Terry Collins to devise a way to skip Niese’s starts, you know, to keep his innings count down. He has been a mess since his start in Colorado. I’ve heard of Rocky Mountain High, but I didn’t know it was an affliction of the ERA that lingered for weeks after.

Look, when Collins decided to use Bobby Parnell, Eric O’Flaherty, and Carlos Torres in the sixth inning I knew he wasn’t taking this game seriously, so I stopped paying attention. That’s why I provided the Mr. T picture above. I worked on that during the broadcast, and here it is, for your pleasure.

Niese was pretty horrid. Other than this nifty play, every pitch was flat and basically spun toward the middle of the plate.

The curveball, which the Phillies hit hard in the third, didn’t really do much. Tejada made a nice sliding play in the second. Yoenis Cespedes finally caught up to the high heat and brought the team back within two.

In another forgettable outing, Niese went five innings and allowed six earned runs on seven hits and two walks (both walks scored) while striking out two.

Below I’ve listed the particulars for yesterday’s game.

Pitches by Type:

##  Pitch Type Count    %
##    Changeup     9 13.0
##   Curveball    10 14.5
##      Cutter     7 10.1
##    Fourseam    21 30.4
##    Two-seam    22 31.9

Pitch Type by Inning

##           1 2 3 4 5
## Changeup  0 2 1 2 4
## Curveball 1 3 4 0 2
## Cutter    2 0 1 3 1
## Fourseam  3 2 8 2 6
## Two-seam  2 2 6 8 4

Pitches by Outcome:

##                           Changeup Curveball Cutter Fourseam Two-seam
## Ball                             5         1      3        6        6
## Ball In Dirt                     0         1      0        0        1
## Called Strike                    0         2      1        2        3
## Foul                             0         1      0        7        5
## Foul (Runner Going)              0         0      1        0        0
## Foul Bunt                        0         0      0        1        0
## In play, no out                  0         0      1        0        3
## In play, out(s)                  4         0      1        3        3
## In play, run(s)                  0         4      0        0        0
## Swinging Strike                  0         0      0        2        1
## Swinging Strike (Blocked)        0         1      0        0        0

Events by Final Pitch of At-Bat

##                Changeup Curveball Cutter Fourseam Two-seam
## Bunt Groundout        0         0      0        1        0
## Double                0         0      0        0        2
## Double Play           0         0      1        0        0
## Field Error           0         0      0        0        1
## Flyout                0         0      0        0        2
## Forceout              1         0      0        0        0
## Groundout             3         0      0        0        0
## Home Run              0         1      0        0        0
## Lineout               0         0      0        1        1
## Sac Bunt              0         0      0        1        0
## Single                0         3      1        0        0
## Strikeout             0         1      0        1        0
## Walk                  1         0      0        1        0

Pitches by Zone Location

##  Zone % Out of Zone % O-Swing % Z-Swing %
##   57.97         42.03     14.28     44.85

Note: Zone % is the number of pitches thrown that were considered in the strike zone; Out of Zone is the number of pitches thrown out of the strike zone; and O-Swing % and Z-Swing % relate to those pitches out of the zone and in the zone that were swung at by batters.

Calculations: I calculated the strike zone based upon the formula provided by Mike Fast in a post for Baseball Prospectus. O-Swing % = Swings at Pitches Out of the Zone / Total Pitches Out of the Zone, and Z-Swing % = Swings at Pitches In the Zone / Total Pitches In the Zone. Fangraphs has a great explanation regarding plate discipline, and I encourage you to read about it if you get a chance. After enjoying my site first, of course.


Pitch Types by Zone Location

##  Pitch Type In Zone Out of Zone O-Swing % Z-Swing %
##    Changeup       1           8     0.375      1.00
##   Curveball       6           4     0.250     0.167
##      Cutter       2           5     0.200     0.500
##    Fourseam      16           5     0.200     0.688
##    Two-seam      15           7      0.00     0.800

Strikeouts by Description

##                           Curveball Fourseam
## Called Strike                     0        1
## Swinging Strike (Blocked)         1        0

Standard Batting Lines Against Jonathon Niese

##           Batter PA AB H 2B 3B HR K BB HBP SF    BA   OBP   SLG Pitches
##    Aaron  Altherr  3  2 0  0  0  0 0  1   0  0 0.000 0.333 0.000      11
##     Aaron  Harang  2  1 0  0  0  0 1  0   0  1 0.000 0.000 0.000       9
##    Andres  Blanco  2  2 0  0  0  0 0  0   0  0 0.000 0.000 0.000       5
##      Carlos  Ruiz  2  2 1  1  0  0 0  0   0  0 0.500 0.500 1.000       5
##  Cesar  Hernandez  3  2 1  0  0  0 0  1   0  0 0.500 0.667 0.500       9
##        Darin  Ruf  3  3 2  0  0  1 0  0   0  0 0.667 0.667 1.667       8
##  Darnell  Sweeney  3  3 1  0  0  0 0  0   0  0 0.333 0.333 0.333       8
##    Freddy  Galvis  2  2 1  1  0  0 0  0   0  0 0.500 0.500 1.000       3
##   Jeff  Francoeur  3  3 1  0  0  0 1  0   0  0 0.333 0.333 0.333      11
## Warning in rm(x): object 'x' not found

Pitches Velocities & Movement:

##  Pitch Type  Min Mean  Max Mean Hor Mean Vert CRT Mean Hor CRT Mean Vert
##    Changeup 82.4 84.1 85.2    8.471     3.486        8.222         2.219
##   Curveball 74.2  76. 77.9   -1.616    -4.958       -2.222        -6.549
##      Cutter 85.8 87.4 88.9   0.3316     3.661      -0.2912         2.553
##    Fourseam 87.0 90.3 93.0    5.275     5.656        4.855         4.673
##    Two-seam 85.7  90. 92.2    9.477     3.065        9.071         2.041

Note: Horizontal movement denotes average distance, in inches, from point of release to home plate (+ moves away from a right-handed batter) while vertical movement is average distance, in inches, from release point to home plate. As measured from the back point of home plate, the x-axis (horizontal) runs to the catcher’s right, the y-axis points at the pitcher, and the z-axis (vertical) runs upward.

Note 2: The corrected horizontal and vertical are based upon a paper by Alan M. Nathan from the University of Illinois nd account for the elimination of both gravity and drag. The corrected averages more accurately reflect the true movement of the baseball.


Average (MPH) Velocity for Pitches by Starters Last Night:

2015-09-02_Jonathon Niese_BoxPlot

Below are the pitch locations by both batter stance (left or right) and by pitch type.

Pitch Location by Stance:

2015-09-02_Jonathon Niese_Stance

Pitch Location by Pitch Type:

2015-09-02_Jonathon Niese_Pitches

Pitch Locations by Batter:

2015-09-02_Jonathon Niese_Batters

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